My economic benchmarks
Monday, November 16th, 2009Recently, MMA (a banking services and insurance provider associated with the Mennonite church) asked me to speak with some of their investors about how to read the economy. If you follow my Facebook or Twitter accounts, you already know I’m an amateur economist. Apparently, someone at MMA wondered where I was getting my ideas and decided to call me in to see if I knew what I was talking about. Do I know? Here’s what I told them. You can judge for yourself.
I believe there are two broad forces driving our economy, manufacturing and consumer demand. Let’s talk about how to measure what is happening in manufacturing, first.
A key measure of manufacturing strength is “Capacity Utilization.” It measures how much of our manufacturing capacity is actively being used. It normally falls in the range of 80% to 85%. It’s currently at 67.5%
Manufacturing? It’s as bad as it’s ever been since the 1960’s. Take a close look at the raw data on the Federal Reserve website. It’s too early to tell, but
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Name: Galen Lehman


















